England head to Lord’s with momentum firmly on their side after crushing Pakistan by an innings and 103 runs in the opening Test at Headingley. Our England Pakistan Test prediction backs the hosts to win again when the second Test begins on Thursday, 27 August 2026. England’s pace attack dismantled Pakistan twice in Leeds, while Joe Root’s side also produced a balanced batting performance to reach 409. Pakistan may have Babar Azam available again, but they need a major improvement with the bat if they are to level the three-match series.
Our prediction: England to win the second Test.
The second Test is scheduled at Lord’s from 27 to 31 August 2026, with play beginning at 11:00 BST.
England vs Pakistan 2nd Test Prediction at a Glance
For readers looking for the quick answer first:
| Category | Prediction |
| Match winner | England |
| Series position before match | England lead 1-0 |
| Venue | Lord’s, London |
| Match dates | 27 to 31 August 2026 |
| Team with stronger current form | England |
| England player to watch | Harry Brook |
| England bowler to watch | Ollie Robinson |
| Pakistan batter to watch | Babar Azam, if fit |
| Pakistan bowler to watch | Ali Usman |
| Main prediction | England to win |
| Cautious prediction | England or Draw |
Best overall prediction: England to win the second Test.
Test cricket can change dramatically with weather, pitch conditions and the toss, so no result should be treated as guaranteed.
Who Will Win England vs Pakistan 2nd Test?
Quick answer: England are our predicted winners.
The first Test was not close.
Pakistan were bowled out for 171 in their first innings and 135 in their second, while England made 409 to secure an innings-and-103-run victory inside three days.
The scale of that victory matters.
England did not rely on one extraordinary individual performance. Their seamers shared wickets, several batters made meaningful contributions, and the fielding supported the bowling throughout.
Pakistan now have to fix several problems at once.
That makes England the stronger choice in our England Pakistan Test prediction.
What Happened in the First England vs Pakistan Test?
England could hardly have started Joe Root’s second spell as Test captain more convincingly.
Pakistan were dismissed for just 171 in their opening innings at Headingley.
England responded with 409, creating a first-innings lead of 238 runs.
Pakistan then collapsed again for 135.
England therefore won by an innings and 103 runs and moved 1-0 ahead in the three-match series.
The result was complete enough to expose problems in almost every part of Pakistan’s game.
England’s First Test Strengths
England showed:
- Disciplined fast bowling
- Strong new-ball pressure
- Wickets in clusters
- Better fielding
- Greater batting depth
- More control through the middle of the match
- Calm captaincy from Joe Root
BBC’s coverage described England as ruthless once they gained control, with the bowling attack repeatedly putting Pakistan under pressure.
Pakistan now need to prove that Headingley was one bad Test rather than a sign of a wider problem.
England’s Bowling Attack Is the Biggest Difference
This is the strongest reason behind our England Pakistan Test prediction.
England’s quick bowlers were far too consistent for Pakistan at Headingley.
Ollie Robinson and Josh Tongue both finished with eight wickets in the match, while Jofra Archer provided another serious new-ball threat.
Robinson explained after the match that England’s four-man pace group works well because each bowler brings something slightly different.
That variety matters.
One bowler builds pressure.
Another attacks with pace.
Another gets movement.
Pakistan never looked comfortable long enough to break that cycle.
Ollie Robinson
Robinson was named player of the match after an excellent display.
His greatest strength was not raw pace. It was consistency.
He repeatedly attacked the same areas and allowed movement from the surface and ball to create uncertainty.
Robinson himself said his focus was on maintaining line and length rather than trying to force wickets with every ball.
At Lord’s, that control could be extremely valuable again.
Josh Tongue
Tongue also enjoyed an outstanding match and accelerated Pakistan’s second-innings collapse with three wickets in six deliveries.
When a batting side is already under pressure, a fast bowler capable of taking wickets in clusters can change a Test in one spell.
Jofra Archer
Archer removed both Pakistan openers cheaply in the second innings and gives Root a different type of threat with the new ball.
His pace alongside Robinson’s accuracy makes England difficult to settle against.
England Batting Form Ahead of Lord’s
England’s batting was another major positive from the opening Test.
They reached 409 despite challenging conditions, and contributions came from several positions.
Reuters reported:
- Harry Brook scored 91
- Jordan Cox made 73
- Joe Root scored 66
- Dan Lawrence contributed 51
Brook and Lawrence also added 120 runs together.
That spread of runs is important.
If England were completely dependent on one batter, Pakistan could build a clearer bowling plan.
Instead, Pakistan have to find a way through a line-up containing several players already in form.
Harry Brook Could Be the Key Batter Again
Harry Brook is the obvious player to watch.
His 91 at Headingley continued an exceptional record against Pakistan. Reuters reported that his Test batting average against Pakistan had moved above 85 following that innings.
That is difficult for Pakistan to ignore.
Brook plays quickly enough to change a Test session, but his Headingley innings also showed that he can build an innings without taking unnecessary risks.
Pakistan need to remove him early.
If Brook bats for two sessions at Lord’s, England could take control very quickly.
Joe Root’s Return as Captain Has Started Well
England’s first Test was also notable because Joe Root is back as permanent captain.
Root praised the variety in his bowling attack and said England managed the match according to the conditions rather than playing one fixed style.
That may be one of the most significant changes.
England still want to score quickly when opportunities appear, but the first Test suggested a greater willingness to absorb pressure when necessary.
Interim coach Marcus Trescothick made a similar point after the Headingley win. England scored at five or six an over during attacking phases, but were also prepared to slow down when conditions became difficult.
That adaptability strengthens the case for another England win.
Pakistan’s Biggest Problem: Batting
Pakistan cannot expect to compete at Lord’s if they repeat their Headingley batting performance.
Scores of 171 and 135 were simply not enough.
Even allowing for favourable bowling conditions, Pakistan lost wickets too frequently and struggled to build partnerships long enough to put England under pressure.
Reuters noted that Pakistan suffered early collapses in both innings, while England’s pace attack and fielding kept the pressure high.
Former Pakistan captain Ramiz Raja was also highly critical during the BBC coverage, questioning how the side could respond after such a poor display.
The second Test requires a different batting approach.
Pakistan need:
- Longer opening partnerships.
- Greater discipline outside off stump.
- Better strike rotation.
- Fewer soft dismissals.
- One of the senior batters to produce a long innings.
Without those improvements, England’s seamers could dominate again.
Will Babar Azam Play the Second Test?
This is one of the biggest questions before Lord’s.
Babar Azam missed the opening Test after suffering a right-hand injury during Pakistan’s warm-up match in Kent.
Pakistan coach Sarfaraz Ahmed said before the series that the team hoped Babar would be available for the second Test.
As of 24 August, his return has not been officially confirmed.
If Babar is cleared to play, his presence would strengthen Pakistan considerably.
He brings:
- Experience in English conditions
- Better control against pace
- Greater stability in the top and middle order
- Leadership experience
- The ability to bat for long periods
Pakistan should not expect one player to solve every problem, though.
Even a fit Babar needs support around him.
Salman Ali Agha and Pakistan’s Leadership
Salman Ali Agha captained Pakistan in the first Test because of Babar’s injury.
Pakistan’s defeat was severe, but placing the entire blame on the stand-in captain would be unfair.
The bigger issue was execution.
England consistently bowled better areas, built stronger partnerships and fielded more cleanly.
Pakistan need their senior players to take more responsibility at Lord’s regardless of who wears the captain’s blazer.
Ali Usman Was Pakistan’s Biggest Positive
Pakistan did have one major bowling positive in Leeds.
Left-arm spinner Ali Usman took five wickets for 95 runs in England’s first innings.
That performance gives Pakistan something to build around.
England still made 409, but a spinner taking five wickets in an English Test is significant.
Trescothick even noted that seeing a spinner claim five wickets in those conditions was not what would normally be expected.
Pakistan will therefore be watching the Lord’s surface closely.
If there is enough assistance for spin, Ali Usman could again play a major role.
England vs Pakistan Record at Lord’s
Pakistan should not arrive at Lord’s believing the venue is impossible for them.
Pakistan have won five Tests at Lord’s over the years, with victories coming in:
- 1982
- 1992
- 1996
- 2016
- 2018
The PCB also notes that Pakistan have historically won 23 Tests against England overall.
History alone will not decide this Test, but it does provide Pakistan with evidence that they can win at Lord’s.
Their challenge is producing a performance much closer to those successful touring sides than the team that struggled at Headingley.
How Could the Lord’s Conditions Affect the Prediction?
Lord’s can reward disciplined seam bowling, especially when overhead conditions help the ball move.
That immediately brings England’s strengths into play.
Robinson’s accuracy, Archer’s pace and Tongue’s wicket-taking ability create a difficult combination if conditions offer movement.
However, conditions should be checked again closer to the toss.
Test match predictions can change significantly depending on:
- Cloud cover
- Pitch preparation
- Moisture
- Wind
- Temperature
- Final team selection
- Toss decision
This is why a good England Pakistan Test prediction should be updated on the morning of the match rather than treated as fixed several days beforehand.
England vs Pakistan 2nd Test Match Prediction
Prediction: England to Win
England are our clear choice.
Headingley showed a sizeable gap between the teams.
England were better with the bat, ball and in the field.
The hosts also have several players already in strong form.
Pakistan can improve, particularly if Babar returns, but they need too many things to change at once for us to back them outright.
Match prediction: England to win
England or Draw: The More Cautious Option
Test cricket is different from T20 or ODI cricket because weather can heavily influence the result.
Even if one team dominates for long periods, enough rain can make a draw possible.
For that reason, readers looking for a more cautious result-based position may prefer:
England or Draw
This covers the two outcomes that currently look more likely based on form.
First-Innings Prediction
Prediction: England to Produce the Stronger First-Innings Total
England scored 409 at Headingley.
Pakistan scored 171.
That is a difference of 238 runs.
One match does not guarantee the same pattern at Lord’s, but England’s batting currently looks considerably more stable.
Brook, Root, Cox and Lawrence all made runs in Leeds.
Pakistan therefore need early wickets to stop England from building another large first-innings advantage.
Pakistan Batting Prediction
Pakistan Need 300+ to Challenge England
Pakistan scored just 306 runs across two innings in the first Test.
That will not normally be enough to win in England.
A first-innings score above 300 would give their bowlers something meaningful to defend.
If they are dismissed below 220 again, our England Pakistan Test prediction would move even more strongly towards the hosts.
Key Players to Watch at Lord’s
Harry Brook
Brook’s 91 at Headingley and outstanding historical numbers against Pakistan make him England’s leading batting threat.
Joe Root
Root contributes both as a senior batter and captain.
His ability to read conditions was one of England’s strengths in the first Test.
Ollie Robinson
Robinson’s consistency caused Pakistan major problems and earned him player-of-the-match honours.
Jofra Archer
Archer can change a session quickly with pace and the new ball.
Babar Azam
If cleared to return, Babar instantly becomes Pakistan’s most important batter.
Ali Usman
Five wickets at Headingley made Ali Usman Pakistan’s standout bowler.
Brydon Carse Availability
England fast bowler Brydon Carse is currently under investigation by the ECB following an off-field incident in Derby.
Reuters reported on 23 August that he was part of the squad for the second Test but that the ECB had not yet confirmed his status for Lord’s.
This is therefore another piece of team news that should be checked before the final XI is announced.
England still have substantial pace depth even if Carse is unavailable.
What Pakistan Must Change to Level the Series
Pakistan’s route back into the series is difficult but not impossible.
1. Survive the New Ball
Losing multiple wickets early gives England complete control.
Pakistan’s top order must make Robinson, Archer and Tongue bowl longer spells.
2. Build One Major Partnership
A Test innings needs a foundation.
Pakistan did not have enough substantial partnerships at Headingley.
One 150-run stand could completely change the pressure on England.
3. Use Ali Usman Aggressively
His five-wicket haul proves England can be challenged by spin.
4. Improve the Fielding
Missed opportunities are expensive against players such as Brook and Root.
5. Make England Bat Under Pressure
England spent most of the first Test ahead of the game.
Pakistan need to create situations where Root’s side must respond rather than dictate.
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What to Check Before Making an England Pakistan Test Prediction
Do not base a Test prediction on the first match alone.
Before play starts at Lord’s, check:
- The final pitch report.
- Weather conditions.
- Confirmed playing XIs.
- Babar Azam’s fitness.
- Brydon Carse’s availability.
- Whether England select a specialist spinner.
- Who wins the toss.
- Any late injury updates.
Test cricket rewards patience.
The best prediction before the toss may not be the best prediction once the teams and conditions are confirmed.
England Pakistan Test Prediction FAQs
What is the England Pakistan Test prediction for the second Test?
Our England Pakistan Test prediction is an England victory at Lord’s. The hosts lead the series 1-0 after winning the opening Test by an innings and 103 runs.
When is England vs Pakistan 2nd Test?
The second Test begins on Thursday, 27 August 2026 at Lord’s in London and is scheduled to run until 31 August.
What time does England vs Pakistan start?
Play is scheduled to begin at 11:00 BST.
Who won the first England vs Pakistan Test?
England won by an innings and 103 runs at Headingley to take a 1-0 series lead.
What did England score in the first Test?
England made 409 all out in their only innings.
What did Pakistan score at Headingley?
Pakistan were bowled out for 171 and 135.
Will Babar Azam play at Lord’s?
Babar missed the opening Test with a right-hand injury. Pakistan had hoped he would return for the second Test, but his Lord’s availability had not been officially confirmed as of 24 August.
Who was England’s best bowler in the first Test?
Ollie Robinson and Josh Tongue both took eight wickets across the match, with Robinson named player of the match.
Who is England’s key batter against Pakistan?
Harry Brook is one of the biggest threats. He made 91 at Headingley and has an exceptional Test record against Pakistan.
Who was Pakistan’s best bowler in the first Test?
Ali Usman took five wickets for 95 runs in England’s first innings.
Can Pakistan win at Lord’s?
Yes. Pakistan have historically won five Tests at Lord’s, so they have a strong history at the venue. Current form, however, clearly favours England.
Is England vs Pakistan likely to end in a draw?
A draw is possible because weather can affect any Test in England. Based purely on current cricket form, however, an England victory looks more likely.
Final England Pakistan Test Prediction
Headingley was not simply an England win.
It was a comprehensive performance.
Pakistan scored 171 and 135. England made 409. Ollie Robinson and Josh Tongue repeatedly took wickets, Harry Brook scored 91, and Root’s team controlled the match from the opening day.
The move to Lord’s creates a new challenge, and Pakistan have a strong history at the venue. A possible Babar Azam return would also make their batting considerably stronger.
But one player cannot solve everything Pakistan got wrong in Leeds.
They need longer partnerships, better fielding and a bowling performance capable of putting England under sustained pressure.
Until Pakistan show those improvements, our final England Pakistan Test prediction remains firmly with the hosts.




